000
FXUS63 KDMX 161746
AFDDMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1246 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY/...
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THE WEATHER WILL BE MUCH QUIETER TODAY AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
AREA BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. A LARGE STRATUS BANK HAS
DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT AND WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING...AS WELL AS SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE NORTH...BUT THIS SHOULD
ALL BURN OFF BY AROUND 13-15Z. THEREAFTER EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS AND VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.
DESPITE LIGHT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGH...PEAK SUMMER
INSOLATION SHOULD STILL BRING TEMPERATURES UP INTO THE LOW TO MID
80S ACROSS THE AREA.

.LONG TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ISSUED AT 316 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM HAS SHIFTED SOUTH A BIT OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AND WILL SHAVE BACK ON POPS FOR MONDAY BASED ON THAT. AFTER
THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE EAST MONDAY NIGHT THERE WILL BE A BREAK
FROM THE WET PATTERN FOR A FEW DAYS. THOUGH THERE ARE SOME LOW
POPS AROUND AS ONE COULD VIRTUALLY ALWAYS SAY THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR...IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY UNTIL ABOUT THU. FROM THU ON THERE
WILL BE CHANCES FOR THUNDER WITH THE BEST CHANCE DURING THE
CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED NIGHTTIME HOURS. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH THE UPPER
JET REMAINING CLOSE ENOUGH...IT WOULD APPEAR IA WILL BE PRIMED FOR
PERIODIC "RING OF FIRE" TYPE CONVECTION FROM THU THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...16/18Z
ISSUED AT 1245 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

CU CONTINUES TO LIFT ACROSS SRN IA SO EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS
AT ALL SITES INTO AT LEAST THE EARLY EVENING. SOME MVFR MAY LINGER
TOWARD THE MO BORDER INTO EARLY AFTERNOON HOWEVER.  THERE IS SOME
CONCERN THAT AT LEAST MVFR FOG VSBYS MAY DEVELOP SOUTH OVERNIGHT...INCLUDING
KOTM...WHERE HIGH DEWPOINTS AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS. THERE
IS ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
PERIOD...ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT THERE TO INCLUDE MENTION AS OF
YET.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LEE
LONG TERM...MS JUN 13
AVIATION...SMALL