Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

000
FGUS73 KDMX 280202
ESFDMX

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
902 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR POTENTIAL RIVER FLOODING...FOR ALL OR
PORTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN IOWA...NORTH RIVER...MIDDLE
RIVER...

  AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN IOWA...MADISON...WARREN

BASED ON FORECASTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THE
NORTH RIVER NEAR NORWALK AND MIDDLE RIVER NEAR INDIANOLA ARE
PROJECTED TO RISE VERY CLOSE TO OR SLIGHTLY EXCEED FLOOD STAGE BY
LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN
THE EXACT LOCATION AND AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IN THESE BASINS...THESE
RIVER FORECASTS REMAIN VERY DYNAMIC AND SUBJECT TO FURTHER
ADJUSTMENT.

THIS HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK IS BASED ON BOTH OBSERVED AND FORECAST
PRECIPITATION. THE RIVERS MAY RESPOND DIFFERENTLY THAN INDICATED...
IF ACTUAL PRECIPITATION IS GREATER OR LESS THAN EXPECTED.

LATER STATEMENTS...POSSIBLY WARNINGS...WILL BE ISSUED AS ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MORE INFORMATION IS AT  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES .

IAC121-181-290202-
902 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

OUTLOOK INFORMATION FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER NEAR NORWALK...OR FROM THE MADISON-WARREN COUNTY
  LINE...TO THE DES MOINES RIVER.
* AT  8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET...OR 10.9 FEET BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER MAY RISE TO FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY
  MORNING. THE RIVER MAY THEN RISE TO 22.5 FEET...OR 0.5 FEET ABOVE
  FLOOD STAGE...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER MAY GO BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS FORECAST IS HEAVILY DEPENDANT ON
  EXPECTED RAINFALL OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ANY SUBSTANTIAL DEVIATIONS
  FROM THIS PROJECTED RAINFALL AMOUNT WILL SIGNIFICANTLY ALTER THIS
  RIVER FORECAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN
  HIGHER FORECAST STAGES OR ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...SEVERAL RURAL GRAVEL ROADS ARE THREATENED.

&&

LAT...LON 4143 9379 4151 9361 4153 9346 4151 9344 4138 9379

$$

IAC121-181-290202-
902 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2013

OUTLOOK INFORMATION FOR
  THE MIDDLE RIVER NEAR INDIANOLA...OR FROM CLANTON CREEK NEAR SPRING
  HILL...TO THE DES MOINES RIVER.
* AT  8:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET...OR 12.1 FEET BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER MAY RISE TO FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING. THE
  RIVER MAY THEN RISE TO 23.2 FEET...OR 0.2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD
  STAGE...TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER MAY GO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TUESDAY EVENING. THIS FORECAST IS HEAVILY DEPENDANT ON EXPECTED
  RAINFALL OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ANY SUBSTANTIAL DEVIATIONS FROM THIS
  PROJECTED RAINFALL AMOUNT WILL SIGNIFICANTLY ALTER THIS RIVER
  FORECAST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEYOND 24 HOURS MAY RESULT IN HIGHER
  FORECAST STAGES OR ADDITIONAL CRESTS.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

&&

LAT...LON 4149 9338 4151 9347 4138 9379 4134 9379 4139 9353

$$