Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 041141
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOODNEIGHBORS...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
641 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY. THE WIND WILL
BE BREEZY FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH
POSSIBLE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BY THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP TO
NEAR 30 PERCENT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ARRIVE ON THURSDAY AND BRING
VARIABLE WINDS IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MORE STEADY FROM THE
WEST TO SOUTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-14700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (109200-137800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4   5   7   8   6   4   2   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52  54  57  59  61  63  64  64
RH..............50  46  42  39  35  32  31  30
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT WIND SPD..14  15  16  17  17  18  17  16
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  11  11  12  12  13  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.7 5.4 6.0 6.3 6.6 6.9 6.6
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW
MIXNG WIND SPD..20  22  23  24  24  24  23  23
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 16 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (55900-124500 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (500-18100 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........2      1      4      5      6      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63     58     51     47     45     43
RH..............31     37     54     63     68     73
20 FT WIND......NNW 14 N 10   N 6    N 3    NNE 2  SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.20                   5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NNW 10 N 7    N 4    N 2    NNE 1  SE 1
EYE LVL WND GST.20                   5
MIX HGT (FT)....6300   4100   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NNW 23 NNW 16 NNW 5  NNW 3  N 3    ESE 2
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-37700 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........13        13        12        8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41        52        64        71
RH..............76        52        38        31
20 FT WIND......SSE 3G5   SSW 6     SW 7      WSW 9G10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SSE 2G5   SSW 4G5   SW 5      WSW 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1000      3000      4300
MIXNG WIND......SSE 3     S 6       WSW 8     W 9
HAINES INDEX....4         4         5         5

$$
FORECASTER...DONAVON
REQUESTED BY...ALEX FOSADO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.GOODN.01/DMX



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