Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 230914
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLERTON EAST...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
414 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS OF AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTY THIS MORNING
WILL GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD EAST AND DIMINISH TODAY...TO SPEEDS OF
AROUND 10 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE FUELS REMAIN VERY
DRY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL OFF QUICKLY AFTER
SUNRISE...BOTTOMING OUT AROUND 45 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (12500-35300 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44  46  49  54  57  56  54  53  57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............37  38  41  45  49  51  52  52  51
RH..............82  73  67  58  52  48  46  48  50
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  13  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..17  17  16  15  14  13  12  12  12
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...LEE
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150323.KELLE.01/DMX


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