Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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924
FNUS73 KDMX 211310
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Pine Ridge North Hillside...Hardin County Conservation
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
810 AM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

The weather will be fairly active through the week but with no
fire weather extremes anticipated. A few sprinkles or very light
rain showers will be possible this morning with fair and cool
conditions into Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain late in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 7 to 15 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2300-3300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........88  85  81  75  67  65  63  41
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39  40  41  42  43  44  44  43
RH..............62  58  55  53  51  47  45  46
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..15  14  14  14  13  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
MIXNG WIND SPD..17  17  17  17  17  17  17  17
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 23.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 9 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1100 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........31     18     19     21     38     49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41     36     32     30     29     27
RH..............48     57     62     62     63     67
20 FT WIND......N 13   N 10   N 9    NE 9   NE 10  NE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 8    N 6    N 5    NE 5   NE 6   NE 6
EYE LVL WND GST.20     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   2100   400    600    900    1100
MIXNG WIND......N 18   N 18   N 16   NE 15  NE 16  E 17
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......500-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2600-3200 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........57        71        81        82
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............24        27        34        39
RH..............74        65        54        48
20 FT WIND......E 10G15   E 13G15   SE 12G15  SE 13G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6G15    E 8G15    SE 7G15   SE 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....700       1900      3000      3200
MIXNG WIND......E 16      E 16      SE 14     SE 13
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Beerends
Requested by...Blake Harris
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704707.0/DMX
.EMAIL hardinccnrm@gmail.com



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