Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 191335
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLERTON 235...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
735 AM CST MON JAN 19 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A SYSTEM DROPS SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE STATE.
LIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE ONLY SLIGHTLY FROM THE SOUTH AND BECOME WESTERLY
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 40
PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (500-8400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........46  46  46  48  51  52  57  68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41  47  53  56  57  56  53  49
RH..............57  47  39  37  38  42  46  56
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.1
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........73        22        20        15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45        37        34        31
RH..............68        85        85        88
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 4G5     W 6G15    W 6G15    W 7G15

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........25           30           41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............31           37           46
RH..............85           72           53
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 7G15       W 9G20       W 11G20

$$
FORECASTER...COGIL
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150119.KELLE.01/DMX



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