Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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287
FNUS73 KDMX 030921
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TORRESON WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
421 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME BREEZY FROM THE WEST TODAY. A
FEW GUSTS OVER 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD DRYING
CONDITIONS TODAY WITH THE WIND AND DRIER AIR WILL HELP LOWER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE MID 30S. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1300-20400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (142000-184900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14  22  26  28  33  35  42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66  67  68  69  69  70  70
RH..............45  42  39  36  36  35  35
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   WNW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  15  16  17  20  21  20
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  25  25  30  30  30
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   WNW
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   11  11  12  14  15  14
EYE LVL WND GST.15  20  25  25  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.5 8.1 8.7 8.4 8.0 7.7 7.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   WNW WNW
MIXNG WIND SPD..18  21  22  24  25  26  28
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1900-17300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (99500-108800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........3         5         5         4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43        51        60        64
RH..............76        59        42        35
20 FT WIND......NNW 10G15 N 13G15   NNW 16G20 NNW 16G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..NNW 7G15  N 9G15    NNW 11G20 NNW 11G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       3000      5500      6100
MIXNG WIND......NNW 8     N 16      N 21      NNW 20
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         5

$$
FORECASTER...DONAVON
REQUESTED BY...CHAD LORETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.TORRE.01/DMX



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