Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 220947
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORSE LAKE WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
447 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS AND NORTH WINDS THIS MORNING GIVING WAY TO SOME SUNSHINE
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY LATE AFTERNOON TO UNDER 10
MPH. NO RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3800-25900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........55  47  21  17  16  8   8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............50  53  56  58  60  61  62
RH..............77  69  62  55  51  48  46
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT WIND SPD..13  12  10  9   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15          10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   9   7   6   6   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.15          10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   NNE
MIXNG WIND SPD..10  9   8   7   6   5   3
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1000-12200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........7      3      12     8      9      17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62     58     52     49     47     46
RH..............48     55     69     77     86     89
20 FT WIND......ENE 7  E 7    ESE 7  SE 8   SE 8   SSE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.                     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..ENE 5  E 5    ESE 5  SE 6   SE 6   SSE 5
EYE LVL WND GST.                     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   2600   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......ENE 3  E 3    E 5    ESE 6  ESE 6  SSE 7
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2600-48100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (60500-88600 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........26        26        22        25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45        54        66        73
RH..............93        71        52        43
20 FT WIND......SSE 8G10  S 14G20   S 18G25   S 21G30
EYE LEVEL WIND..SSE 6G10  S 10G20   S 13G25   S 15G30
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1500      3100      4000
MIXNG WIND......SSE 13    S 18      S 22      S 24
HAINES INDEX....4         4         5         5

$$
FORECASTER...VACHALEK
REQUESTED BY...CHAD LORETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160422.MORSE.01/DMX



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