Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 181341
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG SPUR HABITAT...FRANKLIN COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
841 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST TODAY AND ALLOW FOR WINDS TO SHIFT
AND INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. SUNNY SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES
RISING TO AROUND 60 AND RH VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 35 TO 40 PERCENT
BY THIS AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (900-58100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........28  39  44  42  39  37  33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45  50  54  56  58  60  59
RH..............63  56  48  45  42  39  42
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  12  13  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   7   9   9   10  10
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..9   8   8   9   10  13  15
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (2600-62700 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (2700-3100 KNOT-FT)
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........24     18     15     20     19     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............59     54     48     45     44     42
RH..............42     52     65     76     79     86
20 FT WIND......SE 14  SE 15  SE 14  SE 15  SE 15  SE 15
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     20     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 10  SE 11  SE 10  SE 11  SE 11  SE 11
EYE LVL WND GST.20     20     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   2700   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SE 17  SE 17  SE 13  SE 13  SE 13  SE 14
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...BEERENDS
REQUESTED BY...JASON GOODER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.LONGS.01/DMX



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