Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 162109
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RICHARDSON...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
409 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

NORTHWEST WINDS OF AROUND 15 MPH WITH INTERMITTENT GUSTS ARE
FORECAST THURSDAY MORNING...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10 MPH BY
THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNRISE
THURSDAY...BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 30S AND 40S IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22300-31700 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53  47  42  39  38  36  34  31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39  42  46  49  52  53  54  55
RH..............64  60  53  50  44  41  40  40
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   8   8   7   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.7 4.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..14  13  12  10  9   7   6   6
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1000-23800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........29     27     23     18     19     26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55     51     45     40     38     36
RH..............40     48     60     70     73     75
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 5    E 3    SE 3   SE 3   E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4    E 4    E 2    SE 2   SE 2   E 2
EYE LVL WND GST.              5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   3300   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NW 6   N 6    NE 6   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      4      4      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1100-54900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (68100-92700 KNOT-FT)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........32        36        39        34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............33        45        59        63
RH..............89        62        45        41
20 FT WIND......E 3G5     SE 7      SE 9G10   S 12G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2G5     SE 5      SE 6G10   S 9G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1900      4700      6200
MIXNG WIND......NE 6      SE 7      SE 8      S 13
HAINES INDEX....5         4         4         3

$$
FORECASTER...LEE
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.RICHA.01/DMX



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