Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 212109
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORSE LAKE WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
409 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING WITH LOW TO
MID CLOUDS LINGERING OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH
TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW BEFORE SWITCHING TO THE
SOUTH LATE FRIDAY EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 14 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (61000-80600 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO GOOD (4000-36700 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........71     71     68     72     58     41
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65     61     56     51     49     45
RH..............54     65     74     83     86     89
20 FT WIND......N 13   NNW 12 NNW 14 N 14   N 14   N 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 9    NNW 9  NNW 10 N 10   N 10   N 10
EYE LVL WND GST.15     15     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....6400   4300   500    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......N 14   NNW 16 NNW 18 NNW 21 N 21   N 18
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3
                    TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9000-23700 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........60        55        37        13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43        44        54        62
RH..............89        82        59        43
20 FT WIND......N 13G15   N 12G15   NNE 10G15 NNE 8G10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 9G15    N 9G15    NNE 7G15  NNE 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....600       1700      2700      3800
MIXNG WIND......N 17      NNE 14    NNE 9     NNE 5
HAINES INDEX....2         3         4         5

$$
FORECASTER...SKOW
REQUESTED BY...CHAD LORETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160422.MORSE.01/DMX



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