Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 181258
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUDKE...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
758 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 CDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST TODAY AND ALLOW FOR WINDS TO SHIFT
AND INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. SUNNY SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES
RISING TO AROUND 60 BY THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (900-50200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........48  48  48  48  48  46  40  38  33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40  43  48  52  55  57  59  61  60
RH..............73  70  58  52  47  43  40  38  41
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   8   8   9   10  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6   6   6   7   9   9
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1 4.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..7   7   6   5   5   6   7   9   12
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3200-59000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO POOR (2300-3500 KNOT-FT) AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........24     18     15     19     18     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60     55     50     47     45     42
RH..............41     51     61     68     73     82
20 FT WIND......SE 13  SE 13  SE 13  SE 13  SE 13  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 10
EYE LVL WND GST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   2900   400    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SE 15  SE 15  SE 12  SE 10  SE 10  SE 13
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.BUDKE.01/DMX



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