Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 151205
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RATHBUN...US COE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
705 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
A DEPARTING HIGH TO THE EAST AND AN INCOMING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE
NORTHWEST WILL PRODUCE A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN TO THE
SOUTH BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.  WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2300-23500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (51700-89200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10  14  16  18  21  22  25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............37  40  42  45  47  48  48
RH..............48  44  41  36  35  34  37
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   6   6   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   4   4   5   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.1 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.7 6.9 6.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..16  15  13  12  10  9   9
HAINES INDEX....2   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........30     31     25     39     42     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
RH..............40     47     50     57     59     64
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6    S 6    SE 6   S 9    S 11   S 12
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10     15     20     25

$$
FORECASTER...BOKSA
REQUESTED BY...JOHN PASA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140415.RATHB.01/DMX



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