Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 250834
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNION SLOUGH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
334 AM CDT THU SEP 25 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
A BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THOUGH NO
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN IN THE 55 TO 65 PERCENT
RANGE THROUGH THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1000-31400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........45  47  48  48  47  47  45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67  69  71  73  74  74  74
RH..............75  73  71  66  64  66  64
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   6   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.    10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 2.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..8   8   9   9   9   9   8
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........42     38     28     27     25     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73     68     64     62     60     59
RH..............66     78     87     87     90     90
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1300-29700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (57000-88200 KNOT-FT) EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    EXCELLENT (0-84800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........24        21        24        29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58        64        73        77
RH..............90        81        64        56
20 FT WIND......SE 6G10   SE 9G15   S 12G15   S 14G20
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4G10   SE 6G15   S 9G15    S 10G20
MIX HGT (FT)....300       600       3500      4600
MIXNG WIND......M         M         M         M
HAINES INDEX....M         M         M         M

$$
FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE KNISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140925.UNION.01/DMX


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