Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 092129
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOBOLINK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
429 PM CDT WED APR 9 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE
REQUIRED...PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR
EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH NORTHWEST WINDS ANTICIPATED
THROUGHOUT THE DAY THURSDAY. WINDS IN THE MORNING LOOK TO SLOWLY
INCREASE AS MIXING INCREASES. A FEW STRAY SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...
BUT ANY PRECIP WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND NOT PERSIST FOR AN EXTENDED
TIME FRAME.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3800-18100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (99300-126100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53  46  38  31  27  26  24  22  20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53  55  58  61  64  65  66  66  66
RH..............64  57  47  38  31  29  26  25  26
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..16  17  17  17  16  16  15  14  13
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  25  20  20  20  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  12  12  12  11  11  11  10  9
EYE LVL WND GST.20  25  25  25  20  20  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.0 4.1 5.2 6.3 6.6 6.9 7.2 7.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
MIXNG WIND SPD..20  24  25  23  22  22  21  20  16
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (28300-73700 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (1100-12800 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     20     30     40     43     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65     60     54     48     45     43
RH..............27     32     38     47     53     60
20 FT WIND......NW 10  NW 6   SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15            5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 7   NW 4   SW 2   SW 4   SW 4   SW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.15            5
MIX HGT (FT)....6800   4400   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NW 13  NW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   S 6
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1100-45000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (64100-104700 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........45        38        24        21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............42        51        63        71
RH..............65        54        39        31
20 FT WIND......SW 6      SW 10G15  SW 13G15  SW 14G20
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 4G5    SW 7G15   SW 9G15   SW 10G20
MIX HGT (FT)....300       800       5300      8000
MIXNG WIND......S 5       SW 12     SW 16     W 13
HAINES INDEX....6         5         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...JIM KRIZMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140410.BOBOL.01/DMX



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