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000
FNUS73 KDMX 120314
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Behr - R/X...Iowa DNR Fire
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1014 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 CDT on April 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will remain a bit on the breezy side out of the NW tonight
into Friday, with sustained around 15 mph and gusts into the 20s
mph. Winds will begin ease by the latter portions of the afternoon
and early evening Friday. Overall fire weather conditions will be
on the low to moderate, including areas that received rainfall
Thursday. RH values will fall into the mid 20s percent during the
latter portions of the afternoon, but will concurrently
experience easing winds.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 17 mph.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (108000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (103600
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
GFDI................3.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      2      1      1      1      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............40     42     50     57     61     64
RH..............79     73     58     43     35     29
20 ft wind......NW 13  NW 14  NW 16  NW 17  NW 16  NW 14
20 ft wind gust.20     22     24     24     22     22
Transport wind..NW 18  NW 20  NW 24  NW 25  NW 24  NW 23
GFDI............1      2      3      4      4      5
Haines index....3      5      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100010     20     59     108    127    125

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southeast
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 20 mph decreasing to 6 to 8 mph
                    early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph late in the evening
                    shifting to the south overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (91700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........2         2         2         2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............65        54        47        42
RH..............27        40        51        65
20 FT wind......NW 12G16  NW 5G7    SW 3G5    S 5G7
Transport wind..NW 20     NW 7      SW 5      S 7
GFDI............3         1         0         0
Haines index....5         5         5         5
SDspl kt-ft/100092        2         1         2

$$
Forecaster...Curtis
Requested by...Karl Harris
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410441.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Karl.harris@dnr.iowa.gov