Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 051334
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOODNEIGHBORS-MOUNTAIN...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
834 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
THE SURFACE WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY BECOMING WEST
SOUTHWEST BY NOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND
30 PERCENT BY THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-30300 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21  18  16  12  13  10  8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61  64  67  69  71  72  73
RH..............36  32  30  28  27  27  28
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   7   8   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10      10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   5   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10      10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.5 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.4 4.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  WSW WSW WSW W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..7   7   7   6   6   6   7
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1400-33700 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      2      0      0      0      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     69     63     59     57     55
RH..............28     37     50     57     62     64
20 FT WIND......WSW 9  SW 9   SW 8   WSW 8  WSW 8  WSW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..WSW 6  SW 6   SW 6   WSW 6  WSW 6  WSW 6
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4200   2500   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......WSW 9  SW 9   SSW 7  SW 7   WSW 7  WSW 7
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 26
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1400-43700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (137800-162700 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........1         2         6         10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53        66        79        83
RH..............69        47        31        26
20 FT WIND......WSW 8G10  WSW 10G15 WSW 15G20 WSW 17G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..WSW 6G10  WSW 7G15  WSW 11G20 WSW 12G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1000      4600      6800
MIXNG WIND......WSW 7     WSW 10    WSW 22    WSW 26
HAINES INDEX....4         5         5         6

$$
FORECASTER...BOKSA
REQUESTED BY...ALEX FOSADO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.GOODN.01/DMX



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