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000
FNUS73 KDMX 161248
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GEORGE KUNCH WMA...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
748 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SE TODAY...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
ALSO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL
DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH MIXING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 14 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-51500 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........24  31  44  51  52  56  58  59  62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............69  73  75  77  79  80  80  81  80
RH..............57  48  45  40  38  36  36  38  42
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 3.0 4.4 5.7 6.0 6.2 6.5 5.8 5.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
MIXNG WIND SPD..14  14  13  10  9   9   8   8   7
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-26900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........63     66     69     72     72     71
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............77     70     64     62     61     59
RH..............47     59     73     81     84     90
20 FT WIND......SE 8   E 6    E 6    SE 7   SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6   E 4    E 4    SE 5   SE 4   SE 4
EYE LVL WND GST.10
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   1700   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......S 7    SE 6   SE 6   S 6    S 6    S 5
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      4      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (800-46700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52500-63800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........71        68        65        61
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC
TEMP............60        70        75        80
RH..............90        71        62        52
20 FT WIND......E 8G10    SE 10     SE 12G15  SE 10G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6G10    SE 7G10   SE 9G15   SE 7G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300       2400      4000      5800
MIXNG WIND......SE 3      SE 14     S 15      S 13
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...BHATTARAI
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA MANKEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.GEORG.01/DMX