Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 271559
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RICE LAKE...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1059 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY BETWEEN IOWA FALL AND WATERLOO WILL PULL OFF THE TO NORTHEAST
TODAY.  A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA TODAY.  WIND
SPEEDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT TO NORTHWEST AT 15-25 MPH.  COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE
THIS EVENING AND KEEP WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 10-15 MPH THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 22 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1800-49200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........55  64  61  65  67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64  65  65  64  61
RH..............63  56  54  52  56
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  13  14  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  20  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   9   10  11  11
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 2.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N
MIXNG WIND SPD..12  13  15  17  22
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH BECOMING WEST 9 TO 17
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-29100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........71     73     71     45     31     31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58     52     48     46     44     41
RH..............62     71     80     79     79     85
20 FT WIND......NW 14  NW 14  NW 12  W 12   W 12   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 10  NW 10  NW 9   W 9    W 9    W 7
EYE LVL WND GST.20     20     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1300   300    300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NW 26  NW 30  NW 26  NW 24  W 17   W 9
HAINES INDEX....2      2      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 31 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3200-32900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (143800-161500 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........44        70        74        73
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38        42        49        51
RH..............89        73        58        50
20 FT WIND......W 13G15   W 17G25   W 21G30   W 22G30
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 9G15    W 12G25   W 15G30   W 16G30
MIX HGT (FT)....300       3100      5500      5900
MIXNG WIND......W 15      W 25      W 30      W 31
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3

$$
FORECASTER...BOKSA
REQUESTED BY...TODD WALROD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141027.RICEL.01/DMX



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