Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 271451
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT AYR EAST OF CREEK...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
851 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST TODAY AND ALLOW WIND TO SHIFT FROM THE NORTH
TO THE EAST AND EVENTUALLY THE SOUTHEAST.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THROUGH
MUCH OF THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SO SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL NOT BE GOOD TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500-12900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13  12  10  14  15  12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43  46  48  48  46  43
RH..............65  58  54  54  58  62
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.                    10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   6
EYE LVL WND GST.                    10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.5 0.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7   7
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...BOKSA
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 1
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.MTAYR.01/DMX


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