Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 171707
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR CREEK...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1207 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW STRATUS CLOUDS WILL RAPIDLY BURN OFF ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL LESSEN AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST FOR
TODAY OR TONIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (23200-30400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35  32  32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51  52  52
RH..............52  50  50
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 3.9 3.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..9   8   7
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE EVENING (19000 KNOT-FT)
                    BECOMING POOR (500 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........30     24     18     11     14     29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52     50     44     39     37     35
RH..............48     56     68     79     82     85
20 FT WIND......NW 5   N 3    N 2    N 2    NE 2   NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5                           5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 4   N 2    N 1    N 1    NE 1   NE 2
EYE LVL WND GST.       5                           5
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   2700   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NW 6   NW 5   NW 3   NW 2   NW 3   N 5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...SKOW
REQUESTED BY...JEFF TELLEEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.CEDAR.01/DMX



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