Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 021245
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLTE PBG...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
745 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY 9 AM. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWEEP
THE STATE TODAY CAUSING AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER FROM LATE
MORNING INTO THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME AS WELL BUT THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE VERY HIT AND MISS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1000-27000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49  48  46  46  46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60  61  61  62  62
RH..............42  40  38  36  36
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  WNW WNW WNW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.            10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  WNW WNW WNW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.            10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.6 7.9 8.3 8.6 8.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..WNW WNW W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..2   2   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1000-27600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........46     44     36     18     12     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62     59     54     50     47     44
RH..............38     44     54     63     71     76
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 5    WSW 6  WSW 7  WSW 7  W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.                                   10
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 4    W 4    WSW 4  WSW 5  WSW 5  W 6
EYE LVL WND GST.                                   10
MIX HGT (FT)....7400   4600   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......W 5    W 5    WSW 5  W 6    W 6    W 6
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 26 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1300-12700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (156700-171600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........10        17        31        41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41        54        66        69
RH..............85        59        40        36
20 FT WIND......W 7       W 13G15   W 16G25   WNW 18G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 5       W 9G15    W 11G25   WNW 13G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       2900      6500      7700
MIXNG WIND......W 6       W 13      W 18      WNW 23
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...BOKSA
REQUESTED BY...LUCAS STRAW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.HOLTE.01/DMX



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