Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
000
FNUS73 KDMX 170858
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NE ENTRY...USFWS NEAL SMITH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
358 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE
REQUIRED...PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR
EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW STRATUS WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING HOURS
TODAY AND THE NORTHWEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN BY AROUND
MIDDAY INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS
TODAY WITH SOME SUNSHINE EXPECTED BY THE LATE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (27500-37200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74  69  61  57  54  50  48  43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39  42  45  48  50  51  53  53
RH..............67  62  58  54  50  48  44  44
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14  13  12  10  9   9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  15  15  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  9   9   7   6   6   6   5
EYE LVL WND GST.20  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.1
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..15  14  13  12  10  10  9   8
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-28100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........34     27     20     14     17     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53     51     45     40     37     35
RH..............44     50     60     73     79     82
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 3    N 3    NE 5   NE 5   E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4    N 2    N 2    NE 4   NE 4   E 4
EYE LVL WND GST.       5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4100   2800   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NW 8   NW 6   N 3    N 3    NE 5   NE 6
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-43200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (53100-71600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........37        38        33        30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............33        43        56        62
RH..............89        70        49        39
20 FT WIND......E 5       SE 7      SE 9G10   S 12
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4G5     SE 5      SE 6G10   S 9G10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1400      3500      4700
MIXNG WIND......NE 7      E 5       SE 7      S 13
HAINES INDEX....5         5         5         5

$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...JIM KRIZMAN FMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.NEENT.01/DMX



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.