Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 192352
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLERTON 235...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
552 PM CST MON JAN 19 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
MAINLY BRING A WIND SHIFT AND INCREASING CLOUDINESS BY IGNITION TIME.
WINDS LOOK TO BE WEST-NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS NEAR
25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 39.
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (17900-56900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........75  77  81  83  80  74  70  75  84  89  89  91
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............29  28  28  30  32  34  36  37  38  38  38  35
RH..............88  92  92  85  78  72  67  64  64  64  62  69
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  14  12
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  10  10  10  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  9
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.8 2.6 1.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..22  21  21  20  20  18  18  18  18  17  16  14
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150120.KELLE.01/DMX


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