Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 290904
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNION SLOUGH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
404 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...SWITCHING WINDS
TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING AND NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.  ISOLATED SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE TODAY.  DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MID DAY TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (900-24900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........80  80  80  80  79  78  74
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63  65  66  67  67  67  66
RH..............81  75  75  73  70  70  70
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   6   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.    10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..12  13  13  13  13  13  13
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........65     61     59     62     65     72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65     61     58     55     54     53
RH..............73     78     80     86     86     86
20 FT WIND......NE 8   NE 8   E 8    E 9    E 9    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-51100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........78        88        84        86
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52        57        68        71
RH..............89        77        61        59
20 FT WIND......E 8G10    SE 10G15  SE 14G20  SE 16G20
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6G10    SE 7G15   SE 10G20  SE 11G20
MIX HGT (FT)....600       1000      1900      2600
MIXNG WIND......E 13      E 15      SE 17     SE 21
HAINES INDEX....3         4         3         4

$$
FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE KNISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.UNION.01/DMX



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