Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 281347
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW...IOWA DNR-USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
747 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

WARM SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH LATE
THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF
AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OCCASIONALLY OVER 20 MPH. HIGHS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL REACH THE UPPER 50S WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
DROPPING TO AROUND 50 PERCENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE TONIGHT WITH A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH BETWEEN 9 PM
AND MIDNIGHT WITH WINDS RAPIDLY INCREASING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT
20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3500-23400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........28  26  27  29  28  32  34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43  50  55  58  58  55  50
RH..............70  58  51  47  47  55  66
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..15  15  15  14  13  12  9
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  15      10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  11  11  10  9   9   6
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  15      10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..16  16  16  16  15  12  7
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDY. WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 28 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8
                    TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING INCREASING TO 31 TO 39 MPH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7100-15100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (90200-117200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 28 TO 30
                    MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........45     73     85     94     98     97
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51     49     48     46     43     40
RH..............63     66     63     65     67     70
20 FT WIND......SW 8   W 13   NW 20  NW 28  NW 30  NW 28
20 FT WIND GUST.10     20     30     40     40     40
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6   W 9    NW 14  NW 20  NW 21  NW 20
EYE LVL WND GST.10     20     30     40     40     40
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   2300   2600   2700   3200   3500
MIXNG WIND......S 5    W 8    NW 21  NW 38  NW 39  NW 37
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...SKOW
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 1
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.MEADO.02/DMX


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