Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Graphics & Text |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
801
FNUS73 KDMX 301205
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Kunch South Rx...Iowa Department of Natural Resources Otter
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
705 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Warmer and breezy today as south winds push afternoon temps into
the upper 70s. Peak wind gusts occur this afternoon with gusts of
up to 30 mph possible at times. Min RH dips down into the 40
percent range during peak heating.

Showers and thunderstorms are likely this evening, followed by a
switch to westerly winds tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph increasing to 25 to 31 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (94500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (117100
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   14  22  29  43  30  33  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  65  68  71  73  76  77  76
RH..............72  63  61  55  50  45  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   12  13  14  15  17  20  21
20 FT wind gust.14  17  20  22  23  26  29  31
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.9 2.7 4.0 5.0 5.3 5.2 4.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  16  18  20  22  25  28  31
GFDI............0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1
Haines index....4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100014  27  43  69  95  117 124 125

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 16 to 21 mph shifting to the west
                    12 to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight,
                    then decreasing to 9 to 10 mph after 3 am.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 22 to 31 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 17 mph late in the evening, then
                    shifting to the west overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (88000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........56     91     85     34     12     6
Weather cov.....       DEFNTE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........       DEFNTE CHANCE S CHC
Temp............75     69     63     58     54     50
RH..............48     63     78     90     96     96
20 ft wind......S 21   S 18   SW 15  W 14   W 13   W 10
20 ft wind gust.31     29     23     20     18     15
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   800    500    600    500    500
Transport wind..S 31   S 26   SW 17  W 15   NW 16  W 13
GFDI............1      1      0      0      0      0
Haines index....5      4      4      4      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100088     18     8      7      8      5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    east around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 17 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (37800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........7         28        38        42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............48        57        68        71
RH..............96        67        40        35
20 FT wind......W 9G14    NW 10G16  N 12G16   NE 9G14
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1100      2700      3200
Transport wind..W 10      NW 14     NW 15     NE 9
GFDI............0         0         0         0
Haines index....5         5         5         5
SDspl kt-ft/10004         14        36        27

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Matt Shanklin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412766.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matt.shanklin@dnr.iowa.gov