Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 021534
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITEHORSE WMA...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1034 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THE MAIN
CHANCES ARE EAST OF THE BURN AREA. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE TODAY
BECOMING MORE WEST TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (700-43200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........48  47  47  47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61  61  62  62
RH..............46  46  44  44
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LVL WND DIR.NNW NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.4 8.6 8.7 7.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..NNW NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1000-24900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........46     45     43     25     17     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61     58     55     50     47     45
RH..............46     49     57     66     74     76
20 FT WIND......WNW 6  W 3    SSW 5  SW 5   SW 5   WSW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5
EYE LEVEL WIND..WNW 4  W 2    SSW 4  SW 4   SW 4   WSW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.       5
MIX HGT (FT)....6900   4100   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......WNW 5  WNW 5  W 6    W 5    W 5    W 6
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1100-14100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (112100-168200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........9         14        18        30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43        56        66        68
RH..............82        59        42        37
20 FT WIND......W 6       W 10G15   W 14G20   WNW 16G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 4G5     W 7G15    W 10G20   WNW 11G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       3600      7100      7900
MIXNG WIND......W 5       W 12      W 18      W 23
HAINES INDEX....4         3         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...BEERENDS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FEISEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.WHITE.01/DMX



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