Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 260829
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNION SLOUGH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
329 AM CDT FRI SEP 26 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS IOWA TODAY WITH
ISOLATE SHOWERS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO THE EAST.  GENERALLY DRY WEATHER
WILL PERSIST INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16
                    TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1100-38200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (69800-116400 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27  40  46  49  56  59  54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72  75  78  79  80  80  79
RH..............64  60  56  54  54  54  54
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..10  13  14  15  15  14  13
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  20  20  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   9   10  11  11  10  9
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  20  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 4.3 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 5.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..16  18  21  22  22  21  20
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........44     36     27     33     34     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............77     69     64     63     63     62
RH..............58     73     87     87     87     90
20 FT WIND......SE 12  SE 9   SE 10  S 9    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-24300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    POOR TO EXCELLENT (0-74500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........41        41        36        42
WEATHER COV.....                              S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61        66        73        77
RH..............93        84        66        58
20 FT WIND......S 9G15    S 10G15   S 12G15   S 14G20
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6G15    S 7G15    S 9G15    S 10G20
MIX HGT (FT)....300       700       3200      4600
MIXNG WIND......M         M         M         M
HAINES INDEX....M         M         M         M

$$
FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE KNISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140926.UNION.01/DMX



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