Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 251903
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JENNETT...STORY COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
203 PM CDT MON APR 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1445 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEATHER RETURNS TO THE AREA TODAY. ANOTHER STORM WITH WETTING
RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...CONTINUING
INTO THURSDAY. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK FRIDAY ANOTHER STORM WILL
AFFECT THE REGION WITH WETTING RAINFALL NEXT WEEKEND. IT WILL
BE BREEZY AND MILD THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHTER WINDS
AND COOLER TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 16 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11700-46600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (65700-98600 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21  22  23  20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71  72  72  71
RH..............51  48  48  47
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..17  16  15  14
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.12  11  11  10
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 5.6 6.2 5.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..22  20  18  17
HAINES INDEX....5   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (8100-73600 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (2300-6100 KNOT-FT)
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........15     11     7      4      7      17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71     66     62     58     55     53
RH..............47     58     66     75     77     80
20 FT WIND......W 14   WNW 10 WNW 8  NW 8   NNW 7  NNW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 10   WNW 7  WNW 6  NW 6   NNW 5  NNW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.20     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5600   3900   900    700    600    400
MIXNG WIND......W 15   W 14   WNW 13 WNW 9  NW 8   NW 8
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      3      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1600-56800 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........18        31        46        55
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............M         M         M         M
RH..............86        72        59        49
20 FT WIND......M         M         M         M
EYE LEVEL WIND..M         M         M         M
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1500      2700      3500
MIXNG WIND......N 7       NNE 13    ENE 14    E 14
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         5

$$
FORECASTER...BEERENDS
REQUESTED BY...LUKE FEILMEIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160425.JENNE.01/DMX


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