Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 222156
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RATHBUN...US COE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
356 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE FORECAST ON FRIDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
10 TO 15 MPH BY MIDDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL AFTER
SUNRISE...BOTTOMING OUT AROUND 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 46.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-50500 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14
                    MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11  11  20  38  47  53  65
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38  42  45  46  46  44  42
RH..............62  55  49  49  49  53  57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  13  12  9
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  15  15  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  10  10  10  9   9   6
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.4 2.5 1.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..17  18  18  18  17  15  12
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........71     64     59     51     52     52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
RH..............64     75     85     92     92     88
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6   W 6    W 6    NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...

EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 6G10   W 7G15    W 7G15    W 7G15

$$
FORECASTER...LEE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN PASA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150123.RATHB.01/DMX


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