000
FNUS73 KDMX 171359
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLO BOGS...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
859 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0910 CDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON...AND MAY GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO
THE 80S...WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A BOUNDARY IN
THE MORNING.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1800 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5200-55400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........69  63  61  57  56  56  57  58  56  51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67  70  73  75  77  78  79  79  80  79
RH..............84  76  68  66  64  60  58  56  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   10  12  13  12  12  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   7   9   9   9   9   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.    10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.7 3.0 4.3 5.5 3.7 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.1
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..10  12  13  13  12  10  9   8   9   13
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........48     44     40     36     40     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............77     71     65     63     62     60
RH..............62     73     87     93     93     100
20 FT WIND......SE 12  SE 10  SE 9   SE 8   SE 7   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 9   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
EYE LVL WND GST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
MIXNG WIND......SE 14  SE 12  SE 9   SE 7   SE 6   SE 7
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...BHATTARAI
REQUESTED BY...IOWA DNR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130517.COLOB.01/DMX