Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 041319
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUCKY...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
819 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY. THE WIND WILL
BE BREEZY FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH
POSSIBLE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BY THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP TO
NEAR 30 PERCENT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ARRIVE ON THURSDAY AND BRING
VARIABLE WINDS IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MORE STEADY FROM THE
WEST TO SOUTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-14200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (93100-117200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4   5   4   3   2   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58  61  62  64  65  66
RH..............44  39  36  33  30  30
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW
20 FT WIND SPD..16  18  20  18  17  16
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  13  14  13  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW
MIXNG WIND SPD..21  21  21  21  21  21
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 9 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (51200-108200 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (800-18200 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........2      2      3      5      5      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66     58     50     46     44     42
RH..............30     44     61     71     76     79
20 FT WIND......NNW 14 NNW 10 NNW 7  NNW 5  NW 5   WNW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..NNW 10 NNW 7  NNW 5  NNW 4  NW 4   WNW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....6200   4100   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NNW 20 NNW 15 NW 6   WNW 5  WNW 5  WNW 5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (500-31300 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........10        9         7         3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40        52        65        73
RH..............82        61        43        34
20 FT WIND......WSW 5     SW 6      SW 8G10   WSW 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..WSW 4G5   SW 4G5    SW 6G10   WSW 7G10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1000      2900      4000
MIXNG WIND......W 2       WSW 3     WSW 6     WSW 7
HAINES INDEX....5         5         5         5

$$
FORECASTER...LEE
REQUESTED BY...ROB PATTERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.STUCK.01/DMX


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