Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 231312
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEE TRAIL BOTTOM...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
712 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE BY
IGNITION TIME. INCREASING HIGHS CLOUDS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...GENERALLY
AROUND 15000 FEET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 46.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1800-41800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15
                    MPH.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........32  53  63  63  63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44  46  46  44  40
RH..............49  47  47  51  59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..15  15  14  13  10
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  11  10  9   7
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.7 3.0 2.2 1.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..17  17  16  14  10
HAINES INDEX....4   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1300-4200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........62     33     25     43     51     53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38     35     34     32     31     30
RH..............64     66     72     81     85     88
20 FT WIND......SW 8   W 9    NW 10  NW 12  NW 10  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6   W 6    NW 7   NW 9   NW 7   NW 7
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....700    400    300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SW 7   W 6    W 7    NW 10  NW 9   NW 10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........52        59        34        36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
RH..............88        88        56        46
20 FT WIND......NW 10     W 12      W 10      W 12
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 7G10   W 9G10    W 7G10    W 9G10

$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW KELLNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150123.LEETR.01/DMX



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