Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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FNUS73 KDMX 161350
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Jordan Acres...Story County Conservation
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
750 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Plenty of clouds along with pockets of drizzle and fog will
persist into this evening along with a chance for scattered
showers as a cold front moves across the state tonight. Gusty
winds will develop behind the front along with clearing skies.
Minimum relative humidities through the end of the week will
generally be above 45% with good to excellent overnight recovery.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1300-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69  54  53  52  51  53  54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............33  37  40  42  42  41  39
RH..............69  61  57  53  53  55  59
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   7   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 1.9 1.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..5   6   8   10  12  12  10
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     42     42     57     72     85
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
                    drizzle in the morning, then chance of drizzle
                    in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........95        96        98        97
WEATHER COV.....S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....DRZL      DRZL      DRZL      DRZL
TSTM COV........

$$
Forecaster...Vachalek
Requested by...Ben Marcus
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718900.0/DMX
.EMAIL bmarcus@storycountiowa.gov


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