Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 290104
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNION SLOUGH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
804 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY AND PRODUCE
SOME VARIABILITY TO THE SURFACE WIND FIELD. BURN INITIATION WINDS WILL
BE FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST THEN BECOME MORE NORTH TO NORTHEAST DURING
THE AFTERNOON. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE BY THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE
                    IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........17  16  16  18  20  22  24  29  32  36
WEATHER COV.....                                PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....                                FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72  69  65  64  63  62  61  60  59  58
RH..............57  67  78  78  81  81  84  87  90  93
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.                            5   5   5

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-24400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44  48  48  47  47  47  46  46  47  49  52  54
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........                        ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............57  58  61  64  68  71  73  75  76  77  76  75
RH..............96  93  87  81  73  68  64  62  58  56  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.3 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.7 3.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   5   7
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...DONAVON
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE KNISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.UNION.01/DMX


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