Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 142053
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MALLARD...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
353 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

PRIMARY FIRE WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE CHANGE OF WIND DIRECTION THROUGH
THE DAY FROM NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH BY THE AFTERNOON. LOW DEWPOINTS
WILL HELP LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DURING THE DAY TO HELP
DRY FUELS. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........36     33     23     25     21     7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............35     32     29     27     26     25
RH..............43     49     55     63     65     65
20 FT WIND......NW 17  N 15   N 12   N 9    N 9    N 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     15     10     10     15

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (20600-53600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11  12  13  14  14  18  24  27  31  40  44  50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............22  23  25  29  32  35  37  39  40  42  43  43
RH..............74  71  62  51  43  38  35  32  33  31  32  35
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   6   6   7   7   6   6   6   7   9   10  12
20 FT WIND GUST.10                                  10  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.0 3.1 4.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.0
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  S   S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..14  13  13  12  12  10  8   7   7   8   9   13
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...DONAVON
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE KNISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140415.MALLA.01/DMX



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