Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 030923
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMAHAWK WMA...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
423 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME BREEZY FROM THE WEST TODAY. A
FEW GUSTS OVER 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD DRYING
CONDITIONS TODAY WITH THE WIND AND DRIER AIR WILL HELP LOWER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE MID 30S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1100-15900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (162700-183300 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19  23  26  33  36  37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66  67  69  70  71  71
RH..............43  40  39  38  35  36
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..13  15  16  17  18  17
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   11  11  12  13  12
EYE LVL WND GST.15  20  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.2 7.8 8.1 8.4 8.7 8.1
MIXNG WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..17  18  21  22  24  26
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 22 TO 28 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (88200-176900 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO GOOD (2900-34100 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........38     47     51     16     4      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70     66     60     56     53     49
RH..............38     47     55     59     61     66
20 FT WIND......W 17   WNW 13 WNW 12 NNW 12 NNW 12 NNW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 12   WNW 9  WNW 9  NNW 9  NNW 9  NNW 7
EYE LVL WND GST.25     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....7400   4700   400    400    500    500
MIXNG WIND......W 28   W 22   W 10   NNW 10 NNW 10 NNW 9
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-19300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (103300-109600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........3         4         4         3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45        53        61        65
RH..............73        57        42        35
20 FT WIND......NNW 10    N 13G15   NNW 16G20 NNW 16G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..NNW 7G10  N 9G15    NNW 11G20 NNW 11G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       3300      5700      6300
MIXNG WIND......NNW 8     N 16      N 21      NNW 20
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         5

$$
FORECASTER...DONAVON
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FEISEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.TOMAH.01/DMX



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