Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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001
FNUS73 KDMX 030925
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHRADERS WMA...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
425 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME BREEZY FROM THE WEST TODAY. A
FEW GUSTS OVER 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD DRYING
CONDITIONS TODAY WITH THE WIND AND DRIER AIR WILL HELP LOWER
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE MID 30S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1200-16900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (109700-174800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16  19  24  33  37  36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67  68  69  70  70  70
RH..............42  39  37  36  36  38
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..13  14  15  16  17  16
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   10  11  11  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.15  20  20  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.8 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.5 7.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..16  17  20  21  23  25
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 21 TO 28 MPH BECOMING NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (83300-171600 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (2100-29800 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........35     39     47     16     5      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............69     65     59     56     52     48
RH..............39     48     57     62     66     68
20 FT WIND......W 16   WNW 12 WNW 10 NW 10  NNW 10 NNW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.25     15     15     15            10
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 11   WNW 9  WNW 7  NW 7   NNW 7  NNW 6
EYE LVL WND GST.25     15     15     15            10
MIX HGT (FT)....7300   4500   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......W 28   W 21   W 9    NNW 13 N 14   NNW 10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2500-16800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (95300-106300 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........3         3         4         3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45        52        60        65
RH..............73        59        44        34
20 FT WIND......NNW 9G10  N 13G15   NNW 15G20 NNW 16G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..NNW 6G10  N 9G15    NNW 11G20 NNW 11G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       2900      5300      6000
MIXNG WIND......NNW 8     N 15      N 21      NNW 20
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         5

$$
FORECASTER...DONAVON
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FEISEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.SCHRA.03/DMX



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