Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 022240
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KIOWA MARSH WMA...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
540 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT IN THE MORNING BUT INCREASE FROM THE WEST INTO
THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 35 TO
40 PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-28000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........54        46        23        6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61        55        50        47
RH..............41        57        66        71
20 FT WIND......WNW 5     SSW 6     SW 5      WSW 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..WNW 4G5   SSW 4G5   SW 4G5    WSW 4G5
MIX HGT (FT)....7300      2400      300       300
MIXNG WIND......W 5       W 3       W 5       WSW 6
HAINES INDEX....4         5         5         5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (900-12300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (93800-161000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   2   4   9   14  19  24  26  28  32  37  41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44  45  49  54  59  62  64  66  67  68  69  69
RH..............79  76  68  61  53  46  43  38  37  36  35  37
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   9   12  13  13  13  14  15  16  17  16
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  30  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   6   9   9   9   9   10  11  11  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.        10  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  30  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 1.9 3.5 5.1 5.8 6.5 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.7 6.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..WSW WSW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..5   5   8   12  15  16  16  17  20  22  24  26
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...COGIL
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FEISEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.KIOWA.01/DMX



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