Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FNUS73 KFGF 201558
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Elk Ranch RX...BIA
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1058 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...
Wind speeds have already increased across the area, and they will
remain in that 15 to 25 mph range through the afternoon. Have
updated the forecast to go with a little more afternoon cloud
cover, as there is a band of clouds along the Canadian border that
will move southward this afternoon. The other forecast parameters
seem to be running as expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....(72800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   5   19  35  59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  40  43  44  45
RH..............44  39  34  34  34
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.22  23  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 4.7 5.1 5.6 5.6
Mixing wind dir.NW  W   W   NW  W
Mixing wind spd.20  20  20  20  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..73  80  92  106 107

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 28.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    west 5 to 10 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west 10 to 15
                    mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....(93300 knot-ft) decreasing to (4700 knot-ft)
                    early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........42     17     5      8      12     4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............45     43     36     34     32     30
RH..............34     42     56     62     70     76
20 ft wind......NW 15  W 10   W 5    W 10   W 5    W 5
20 ft wind gust.22     14     11     13     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....5600   800    500    500    500    500
Mixing wind.....NW 25  W 15   W 15   W 15   W 15   W 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..111    10     5      5      5      6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....5600 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    88600 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........4         4         3         2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............29        36        50        55
RH..............76        63        36        28
20 FT wind......W 5G13    W 5G14    W 10G15   W 10G15
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1300      3300      5000
Mixing wind.....W 15      W 15      W 20      W 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6         18        53        80

$$
Forecaster...VG
Requested by...Jerell Londo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411508.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerell.londo@yahoo.com


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