Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
601
FNUS52 KILM 120723
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
323 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures will be in place
across the area the next several days.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-122330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
323 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 82 53 82
Min/Max RH (%) 32 82 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 8 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8300 7100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 21 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 174300 71000
ADI Early 91 Good 96 Good 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 160 Very Good3 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-122330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
323 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 53 82
Min/Max RH (%) 31 84 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 8 G17 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1900 70/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8000 6800
Transport Wind (mph) NW 21 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 168000 61200
ADI Early 96 Good 112 Very Good36 Fair
ADI Late 163 Very Good3 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-122330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
323 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 55 82
Min/Max RH (%) 32 85 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 7100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 17 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 127500 92300
ADI Early 68 Good 87 Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 134 Very Good3 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-122330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
323 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 54 82
Min/Max RH (%) 31 84 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 1900 66/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7400 7100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 16 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 118400 85200
ADI Early 74 Good 99 Good 38 Fair
ADI Late 128 Very Good3 Very Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-122330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
323 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 54 82
Min/Max RH (%) 32 85 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 7 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 1900 69/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7400 6500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 17 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 125800 78000
ADI Early 75 Good 83 Good 29 Fair
ADI Late 132 Very Good3 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$