Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 040919
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Big Mountain Enduro...Arkansas State Parks
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
419 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are anticipated to
develop today. Not every location is expected to see this rainfall
despite rain chances hovering between 40 and 50 percent this
afternoon. Precipitation that does develop should track from
northwest to southeast. Chances for rain will decrease going
through the late afternoon hours. Severe weather appears unlikely.

A greater chance of showers and thunderstorms exist for Sunday as
a stronger storm system moves across the region. With this
system, precipitation coverage should become more widespread and
numerous, tracking from southwest to northeast across the state.
Once again, severe weather appears unlikely with this system.

.TODAY...

Max temperature.....64 at forecast start...Max 78.
Min humidity........93 percent at forecast start...Min 69 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Surface winds.......South winds around 6 mph shifting to the west 8
                    to 9 mph late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the around 10 mph early in the afternoon
                    shifting to the southwest around 9 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2700 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............64  64  65  66  68  70  73  73  74  74  74  74
RH..............93  97  97  97  90  84  79  76  74  71  69  69

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 62.
Max humidity........Max 100 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
                    Patchy fog after 3 am.
Surface winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph early in the evening, then
                    becoming light early in the evening becoming
                    southwest around 6 mph late in the evening
                    shifting to the east 6 to 8 mph.
Category Day........1.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1200 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....SCH SCH                     SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW                      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH                     SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Temp............74  74  71  69  69  67  67  65  65  65  65  64
RH..............69  69  79  81  84  90  87  90  90  90  93  93

.SUNDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 71.
Min humidity........Min 81 percent.
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Showers through the day. Thunderstorms
                    likely in the afternoon.
Surface winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1500 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Temp............64  64  63  64  66  66  67  68  68  68  68  68
RH..............97  97  100 97  93  93  93  90  87  87  84  84

$$
Forecaster...T Jones
Requested by...Will Strain
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2413120.0/LZK
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL will.strain@arkansas.gov