Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
050
FNUS54 KMEG 030921
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
421 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
.DISCUSSION...A warm, humid, and unstable airmass combined with
a series of mid-level shortwave troughs will bring
shower and thunderstorm chances daily to the region over
the next 7 days.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-032130-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
421 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.07 0.14 0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-3) 63 (-1) 83
RH % (24h trend) 57 (+13) 99 (-1) 53
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5-9 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 4-8 NE 2-6 SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3300 3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3500 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 4 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 9 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 4400 4800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 3 SW 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 8 SW 8
Dispersion Index 25 6 22
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 3 3 3
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-032130-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
421 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 50 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.11 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 79 (-3) 63 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 63 (+4) 100 (0) 57
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 3-7 S 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NW 3-7 E 2-6 SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2700 3800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 4000
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 4 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 8 SW 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 3600 4800
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 4 W 2
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 9 W 5
Dispersion Index 18 6 21
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 3 3 3
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-032130-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
421 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 60 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.24 0.07 0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-4) 63 (0) 82
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+18) 100 (0) 57
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5-9 S 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 4-8 N 2-6 SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 3100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2700 3500
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 4 W 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 9 W 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 3200 4400
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 4 W 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 8 W 10
Dispersion Index 21 6 24
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 3 3 3
Stability Class C E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 10 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-032130-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
421 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 60 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.20 0.13 0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 3 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-4) 63 (0) 82
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+19) 100 (0) 56
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 5-9 S 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) W 4-8 SW 2-6 SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2800 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 W 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 4500 4800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 4 W 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 9 W 7
Dispersion Index 22 5 22
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 3 3 3
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-032130-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
421 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 60 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.20 0.10 0.06
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 4 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 80 (-4) 63 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+14) 100 (0) 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 5-9 S 3-7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 5-9 S 3-7 SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2200 3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2500 3900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 4 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 9 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 3200 4800
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 4 SW 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 10 SW 9
Dispersion Index 19 11 27
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 3 3 3
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-032130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
421 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 70 60 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.38 0.20 0.11
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 4 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 82 (-4) 62 (-1) 83
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+20) 100 (0) 55
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 4-8 S 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 6-10 S 3-7 SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2200 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2600 3700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 4000 4400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 11
Dispersion Index 24 11 27
LAL 4 4 3
LASI/Haines Index 3 3 3
Stability Class B E B
Stagnation Index 1 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$