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000
FNUS73 KMKX 151102
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Ridgeway Weier Rx Burn...WI DNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
602 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 15.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

No change to the previous forecast. This is just a refresh.

Limited mixing heights this morning will lift to around 4000 ft
this afternoon. Light northeast winds are expected until this
evening when they become due east. Smoke dispersal will be fair
this afternoon. Low RH of 20 to 25 percent is expected this
afternoon. If temperatures end up warmer then RH will be slightly
lower.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................61 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph increasing to 7 to 10 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /29400 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   9   6   6   2   3   6   6   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  55  61  66  68  70  71  72  72  72
RH..............61  55  44  36  32  29  27  25  26  27
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   4   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.0 2.1 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.2
Transp wind dir.E   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   5   9   10  9   8   8   8   7   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10002   4   17  27  28  26  28  29  26  26

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   4   6   7   9   12  16  19  23  27  31  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  68  64  61  58  56  54  51  50  49  48  48
RH..............28  34  38  42  51  55  59  56  56  56  54  54
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  11  12  13  14  16  17  17  17  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  16  16  17  18  18  20  20  20
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100025  4   4   4   7   7   8   9   10  11  12  13

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 62.
RH..................Min 53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 33 mph
                    increasing to 35 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning and early
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 23 to 32 mph increasing to 33 to 38 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (58500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  51  62  75  80  80  79  79  83  89  93  93
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Temp............47  47  50  52  55  57  59  61  61  60  59  59
RH..............56  56  56  56  59  55  57  58  58  62  67  72
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  13  13  13  14  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.19  21  22  22  22  22  22  23  26  26  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.23  24  29  29  30  32  33  35  36  37  38  36
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100018  20  32  33  39  44  48  52  54  56  59  47

$$
Forecaster...Cronce
Requested by...Bridget Rathman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410806.0/MKX
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bridget.rathman@wisconsin.gov