000
FXUS62 KMLB 160157
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
950 PM EDT WED MAY 15 2013

.DISCUSSION...

AS EXPECTED...FEW SPRINKLES ALONG MARINE CONVGC BAND OFFSHORE MARTIN
COUNTY DISSIPATED AS THEY HIT THE COAST. A FEW RESIDUAL SCRAPS OF SC
NOTED ACROSS THE SERN 4 COS ATTM...BUT 3.9UM IT SATELLITE TRENDS NOW
SHOW THIS TO BE DISSIPATING. LOOKING UPSTREAM..NRN EDGE OF EXPANSIVE
AREA OF ATLC MARINE SC APPEARS TO BE GBI-GREAT ABACO AND 0-2KM FLOW
WOULD TAKE THIS MOSTLY ACROSS PTS FROM PALM BEACH COUNTY SOUTH.

FORECAST/GRIDS LOOK FINE. MADE A FEW EARLY TWEAKS TO BACK-POPULATE
RTMA ANALYSIS DATA AND EXTRAPOLATE FORWARD. OTRW...NO FCST CHANGES.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. A FEW SCRAPS OF MARINE STRATO-CU WILL CREATE OCNL
SCT035-045 INVOF VRB-FPR-SUA. OTRW...SKC.

&&

.MARINE...CONTINUATION OF 8-9S PERIOD SWELL PRODUCING MAINLY 3-4FT SEAS
EXCEPT 2-3FT RIGHT ALONG THE COAST. ONGOING CWF LOOKS FINE.



&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

FCST/AVIATION...CRISTALDI
IMPACT WX....MOSES