Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 231019
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Nellie/Salt Ponds...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
519 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected at the burn site through the
middle of the week. Minimum relative humidity drops to 31-32 percent at
the burn site this afternoon and 34-36 percent Wednesday afternoon.
Transport winds turn southeasterly this morning then more southerly by
this afternoon with westerly winds by tomorrow.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-1829 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 10 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South around 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 63.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   0   0   1   1   3   6   8   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  61  67  69  73  75  76  78  77  77
RH..............66  51  43  40  35  33  33  32  35  36
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SSE SSE S   S   S   SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   8   10  10  10  10  10  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 2.5 3.6 4.4 4.9 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.0 6.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.ESE SE  SE  SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  10  9   9   9   10  10  10
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..9   28  48  50  54  54  59  66  67  67
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1829 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....67 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   7   11  15  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  69  66  63  61  59  57  55  54  53  52  52
RH..............40  51  58  67  75  80  86  93  96  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   8   7   6   5   5   3       2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SSW
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   5
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   2
Dispersion idx..67  5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   6   7   8   8   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1920 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 3 mph shifting to the west 5
                    to 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South around 1 meters/second shifting to the
                    west 2 to 3 meters/second in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 44.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  20  17  14  11  11  11  11  12  14  15  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  53  59  66  72  74  77  80  82  83  82  80
RH..............100 100 83  68  57  51  45  39  37  36  37  41
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NNE WNW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.1   1   2   2   3   5   5   5   6   7   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.3 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.7 6.0 6.3 6.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SW  W   WNW NW  NW  WNW WNW WNW W   W
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   6   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6
Trans spd (m/s).1   1   1   3   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..2   4   5   12  23  30  31  31  32  40  47  47
LVORI...........10  9   5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...7
Requested by...Kevin Mock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411787.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.k.mock@usda.gov


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