227
FXUS64 KOHX 100626
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
126 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

In the extended forecast, we will kick off the period with some
upper ridging. The ridge axis will quickly move east, however, and
give way to our next weather system. This system will take the form
of an open wave. The associated frontal system will offer little n-s
extension and instabilities will be weak. Nevertheless, showers and
thunderstorms will return beginning Monday night, but the activity
looks like a general risk. Otherwise, rainfall amounts look like
maybe a half inch.

After a brief break on Wednesday, look for more showers and tstms to
return. This system looks more potent with a surface low tracking
northeastward across the upper midwest. The southwestward frontal
extension lacks organization, but 60 knots at 850 mb could end up
being problematic if instability levels increase with time.
As for now, no day 7 or day 8 spc inclusion. Rainfall totals at
this point look like up to one inch or so.

For the extended temps, values looking close to normal for mid May
with lows upper 50s to lower 60s and highs mid 70s to lower 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 123 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

VFR conditions currently, but a period of low cigs may move in
by 11Z at CKV progressing southeastward to SRB by 15Z. Conditions
should improve areawide back to VFR by 18Z. Winds will remain from
the N/NW, becoming gusty around 15 to 20 kts in the afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      72  53  77  53 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    71  51  76  50 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     67  45  69  46 /  20   0   0   0
Columbia       72  50  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     67  47  72  48 /  20   0   0   0
Jamestown      66  46  70  47 /  30   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   72  50  77  52 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   71  49  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        71  51  77  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION.....Adcock