Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 091903
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Mine Road Fire...NJ FFS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
303 PM EDT Tue Apr 9 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on April 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be light today, generally around 5 mph favoring a
southerly direction for the remainder of the afternoon.
Temperatures will remain in the low to mid 70s with minimum
relative humidity values forecast near 30%. Chances for showers
increase overnight to near 50% by Wednesday morning. Overnight
relative humidity recovery will be good to around 85-90%, with lows
near 50 degrees. For Wednesday, the relative humidity will remain
near 90% much of the day with a light east to southeast wind.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind shift..........No significant wind shifts expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph becoming south to
                    southeast.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30500 knot-ft).
ADI.................43 to 48.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 4 mph.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
LAL.............1   1
Temp............75  75
RH..............33  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6
20 FT wind gust.8   8
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 6.1
Transp wind dir.W   SW
Transp wind spd.6   6
ADI.............48  43
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35  31
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    after 3 am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind shift..........No significant wind shifts expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming east.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph shifting to the east around 7
                    mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................3 to 37.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 4 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  66  73  72  75  80  79  79  84  84  86  89
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  30  30  40
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  30  30  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  69  67  64  61  59  57  55  54  53  52  52
RH..............38  42  45  50  58  62  67  72  74  77  80  77
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   8   7   7   6   7   7   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   7
ADI.............37  5   6   6   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25  6   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
CWR.................40 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
                    morning, then decreasing to 40 percent early in
                    the afternoon decreasing to 30 percent late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).
ADI.................3 to 14.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 3 mph
                    late in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  92  91  89  88  87  85  84  83  78  77  78
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40  50  50  50  50  50  40  40  30  30  30  30
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  50  50  50  50  40  40  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  50  51  52  54  56  57  59  61  61  61  61
RH..............83  86  83  83  83  77  77  75  70  72  75  75
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.7   6   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   6   6
ADI.............3   6   12  12  12  13  11  13  14  14  11  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   8   8   8   9   8   8   10  9   7   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Staarmann
Requested by...George Efinger
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2410131.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL george.efinger@dep.nj.gov


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