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000
FXUS62 KTBW 151804
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
204 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Upper level ridging continues to stretch from the western Gulf of
Mexico northward through the Mississippi River Valley to start the
forecast period. On the surface, broad surface high pressure near
Bermuda ridges west-southwest over Florida. As the upper ridge moves
eastward over the next couple of days and the surface ridge remains
parked over Florida, rain-free conditions and the warming trend will
continue through the week and into the weekend. We will have one
more cool night tonight in the upper 50`s to low 60`s and then the
rest of the week overnight lows will remain in the 60`s. Daytime
highs today and tomorrow will top out in the mid to upper 80`s, then
further heating up into the upper 80`s to mid 90`s by the end of the
week and into the weekend. The next hint of any chance of rain will
not come until the end of the forecast period on next Monday, but
still only about a 20 percent chance at best.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 203 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

VFR conditions and winds less than 10 knots expected through the
period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 203 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

High pressure located near Bermuda ridges west-southwest over
Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico. This is producing rain-free
conditions, light winds less than 15 knots and seas 2 feet or less.
This pleasant weather will continue through the remainder of the
week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 203 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

High pressure dominates the weather over the area with warm and rain-
free conditions through the week. Critical RH values continue
through the week, but minimal winds will preclude the need for any
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  64  88  67  87 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  62  88  65  88 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  59  88  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  61  89  65  88 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  55  89  59  89 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  67  85  69  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...Giarratana