Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
345 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014

...MIDSOUTH SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF MINOR FLOOD RISK...

THERE IS A GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF MINOR FLOOD RISK IN
THE MIDSOUTH THIS SPRING. THIS FLOOD RISK APPLIES TO BOTH THE
MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE RIVERS AND THEIR TRIBUTARIES.

THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER COULD GET INTO THE MINOR FLOODING RANGE IN
THE MIDSOUTH...WITH THE GREATEST RISK IN NORTHERN COUNTIES. A
FACTOR FAVORING MINOR FLOODING INCLUDES POSSIBLE ABOVE NORMAL RAIN
THIS SPRING AROUND CAIRO AND THE NORTHERN MIDSOUTH. ADDED TO THE
POSSIBLE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL IS CONSIDERABLE SNOWPACK IN
MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN. THIS SNOW COULD MELT AND THE MELT BE HERE
THE SAME TIME THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS FLOODING THIS AREA.

ABOVE NORMAL RAIN IS EXPECTED ALONG THE PORTION OF THE TENNESSEE
RIVER THAT BORDERS WEST TENNESSEE. HOWEVER...THE FLOODING ALONG
THAT SECTION OF THE TENNESSEE RIVER WILL ALSO BE INFLUENCED BY
UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM HIGH WATER. THEN TOO...RELEASES FROM
KENTUCKY LAKE WILL BE PARTIALLY CONTROLLED TO KEEP THE WESTERN
OHIO RIVER AND THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM FLOODING.

MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS IS EXPECTED IN THIS
AREA...WHICH IS NORMAL. SPRING IS THE WETTEST SEASON IN THE
MIDSOUTH. FOUR TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN COMMONLY FALLS IN MARCH AND
APRIL. MORE THAN FIVE INCHES OF RAIN IS OFTEN MEASURED IN MAY OVER
MOST OF THE AREA AROUND MEMPHIS.

THIS IS THE LAST SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR THE MEMPHIS AREA FOR
2014.

$$

WER




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