Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 291904
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
304 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...No critical fire weather with a wintry mix on the way...


.DISCUSSION...A widespread wintry mix of precipitation will
spread northeast across the area later tonight through Thursday
night. Liquid equivalent precipitation totals may approach half an
inch, especially south of M-32. Lingering rain showers on Friday
gives way to precipitation-free weather and mild conditions this
weekend into the start of next week.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-300815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
304 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AND
                    SNOW UNTIL 1200. RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 26 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.18 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN, SNOW, LIGHT
                    SLEET AND CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.44 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN, LIGHT
                    SLEET LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200,
                    THEN CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (880).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-300815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
304 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0400, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AND
                    SNOW UNTIL 1200. RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......37 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 28 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.55 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). LIGHT SLEET AND CHANCE
                    OF FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 2400. RAIN AND SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.57 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 0800,
                    THEN CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (810).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-300815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
304 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0400. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER
                    2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW. LIGHT
                    SLEET AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......38 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.34 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW, LIGHT SLEET AND
                    CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 2400. RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.40 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-300815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
304 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0300. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER
                    2300 UNTIL 0500, THEN SNOW LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 1200. RAIN.
                    SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET LIKELY AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 32 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.55 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0200.
                    CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2000.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.41 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-300815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
304 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 2300 UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER
                    2300. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW. CHANCE
                    OF FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......39 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.63 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW, LIGHT SLEET AND
                    CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 2400. RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.35-0.54 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
                    0800, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB



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