Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 271924
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
324 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

...Rain-free stretch expected through the weekend...

.DISCUSSION...A sprawling area of high pressure and drier air mass
will settle over the Upper Great Lakes region tonight through
the weekend, bringing a stretch of rain-free weather to northern
Michigan. Temperatures will gradually warm a bit each day through
Sunday, with highs climbing from the mid 70s Friday to low/mid 80s
by Sunday. Humidity values will drop substantially each afternoon
but are expected to remain above critical fire weather
thresholds. Winds will generally be on the lighter side with a
northerly/northeasterly component.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-280815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
324 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (820).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
324 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (960).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1030).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
324 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (800).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-280815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
324 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1080).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
324 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1110).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1120).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MK


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