Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 012033
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
433 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND CROSS OUR REGION SUNDAY BEFORE EXITING INTO
NEW ENGLAND AND WEAKENING ON MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE WEATHER
UNSETTLED THROUGH MONDAY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING A RETURN TO DRY AND WARM WEATHER TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-020900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
433 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           60           60           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       55           69           51           66
AM WIND (MPH)                              LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  6        SW  6        SW  5         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.12         0.08         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     3            5            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 PM        10 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                       1 AM   CONTINUING        12 AM         1 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               99           64          100           65
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               130         6400          120         4360
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  5        SW 13        SW  5        NE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 650        83200          600        34880
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           83            1           35
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-020900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
433 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           70           70           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       52           68           48           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S  6                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5        SW  6      LGT/VAR         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.19         0.13         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     3            6            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM         7 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       2 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           57          100           58
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         6410            0         4490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  9        SW 12         W  7         N  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        76920            0        31430
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           77            0           31
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-020900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
433 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           70           70           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       54           72           51           66
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.18         0.09         0.20         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     6            3            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM         1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           52          100           58
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               140         6710            0         4690
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  7        SW  9        SW  6         N  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 980        60390            0        37520
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           60            0           38
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-020900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
433 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

                              TONIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           40           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       50           69           51           66
AM WIND (MPH)                                SE  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.20         0.04         0.30         0.12
PRECIP DURATION                     6            4            6            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING         5 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           63          100           64
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               220         5030          130         4500
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 12         S  5         S  3         N  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                2640        25150          390        36000
DISPERSION INDEX                    3           25            0           36
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


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