Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 292006
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL WORK SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY...TRIGGERING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. DRY...BREEZY...AND MUCH COOLER
CONDITIONS WILL SETTLE IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR SUNDAY. THE EXTENDED
STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MID-WEEK...WITH A
SLOW WARMING OF TEMPERATURES.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-292130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
406 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8850-9350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1820).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......580-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4290-4790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    9 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-292130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
406 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 PM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 5 PM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7740-8240 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......620-820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5020-5520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    9 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......24 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......770-970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (70).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-292130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
406 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 7 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7250-7750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1440).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 2 PM. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. SHOWERS AFTER
                    2 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7390-7890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 10 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 10 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1320-1520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

SS/HLO



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