Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 011956
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
355 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY IN
ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. TURNING COLDER AND UNSETTLED OVER
THE WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-021400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
355 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 3 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 6 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1 PM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2020-2520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (580).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. POP...100
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......660-860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 PM. SHOWERS.
                    POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2870-3370 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (750).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-021400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
355 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL
                    10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    NOON. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1240-1740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 AM...THEN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 PM. SHOWERS.
                    POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-021400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
355 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4180-4680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 5 PM. SHOWERS.
                    POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4180-4680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

MR






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