Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 301933
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP SURFACE CONDITIONS
SATURATED AS RAIN AND COOL TEMPERATURES PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT CHANCE TO BREAK OUT OF THIS CURRENT
PATTERN WILL COME MONDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE PUSHES EAST. NO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-011415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    5 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 5 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1240-1440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (140).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1720-2220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 9 PM. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 PM. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......440-640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5380-5880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-011415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    4 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 4 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1380-1580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (140).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2010-2510 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (430).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 PM.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4820-5320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-011415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 10 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 10 PM. POP...90
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......930-1130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (90).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5460-5960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    9 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......820-1020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

$$

DRK



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