Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 270754
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
347 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT WILL
SLOWLY SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THIS HIGH WILL SUPPORT SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND
IN COMPARISON THE LAST WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-272100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
347 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM UNTIL NOON. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL
                    NOON...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10980-11480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7060-7560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-272100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
347 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM UNTIL 11 AM. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL
                    11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9980-10480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1180).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 6 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4910-5410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-272100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
347 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10360-10860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (910).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 6 AM UNTIL 7 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8760-9260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.

$$

HLO


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