Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 102005
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
405 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND
MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE HIGH WILL
SLOWLY DEPART TOWARD THE EAST DURING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY ALLOWING
LIGHT SOUTH WIND TO CARRY WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR INTO THE
REGION...ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...THAT WILL LAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-111415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
405 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5170-5670 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......940-1140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4510-5010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-111415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
405 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......480-680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5410-5910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (520).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......940-1140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5310-5810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-111415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
405 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......750-950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

CB





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