Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 210725
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
325 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...Widespread rains expected tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Some high clouds and cumulus clouds will be around for the eclipse
event this afternoon. A small chance of a few showers and storms
will exist this afternoon, mainly away from Lake Michigan. Storms
are expected for most areas beginning overnight tonight and Tuesday
morning. Some of these could become locally strong to severe, with a
heavy rain potential also in place.

Rain will gradually clear out on Tuesday behind the frontal system,
with cooler air filtering in. Mostly drier and cooler weather will
then be in place for the remainder of the week. A brief shower can
not be ruled out, especially on Wednesday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-212015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
325 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1300.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6200-6700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 0200, then
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.48-0.80 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1900, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.28 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-212015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
325 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 0200, then
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.40-0.60 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1600, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.30 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-212015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
325 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1300.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 6 mph shifting to the west
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5900-6400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 0200, then showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.32-0.78 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1600, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4800-5300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) increasing to 1200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.32 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-212015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
325 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....84 to 89.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 0200, then showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.63 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL increasing to 5200-5700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.33 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-212015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
325 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 0200, then showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.49 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1800, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.37 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$



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