Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 282000
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will pass across the area today and tonight,
migrating offshore Thursday and Friday. A return to summertime heat
and humidity will develop this weekend with above normal temperatures
and typical summertime thunderstorm chances continuing into
early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...low...mainly inland.

NCZ105>110-291200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          61           86           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        E  3         SE  5        SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.17
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             2100         76/1000      2100         78/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           53           97           64
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5580                      3890
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     SE  9
Ventilation rate                   66960                     35010
ADI early             34 Fair      29 Fair      51 Gen good  16 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  50 Gen good  1 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            6            8
Max LVORI late        7            1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-291200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          61           87           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12
Precip duration                                              2
Inversion             2100         75/1000      2100         77/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        92           42           99           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7120                      4140
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      S 12
Ventilation rate                   71200                     49680
ADI early             20 Gen poor  27 Fair      60 Gen good  15 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  54 Gen good  1 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            7            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-291200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           50
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          63           86           69           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        E  5         SE  6        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         SE  9        SE  3        SE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.20
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             2100         77/1000      2100         78/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           56           98           68
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5310                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 14                     S 10
Ventilation rate                   74340                     38000
ADI early             40 Fair      37 Fair      56 Gen good  12 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  48 Gen good  3 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            8
Max LVORI late        7            1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-291200-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           50
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          62           87           69           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        E  3         SE  6        E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.15
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             2100         75/1000      2100         77/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        92           43           99           61
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6520                      4130
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 13                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   84760                     49560
ADI early             35 Fair      36 Fair      61 Good      11 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  59 Gen good  2 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            7            6            9
Max LVORI late        7            1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-291200-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           50
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            3
Min/Max Temp          62           88           69           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        E  3         SE  6        SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  3        S  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             2100         75/1000      2100         77/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        89           37           96           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7490                      4250
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 10                     SW 16
Ventilation rate                   74900                     68000
ADI early             22 Fair      36 Fair      63 Good      15 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  55 Gen good  3 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            7
Max LVORI late        6            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17


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