Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 172034
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
334 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Mild air will surge into the region Monday and Tuesday ahead of
low pressure will approach from the west. This system will bring
moderate rain Wednesday and Wednesday night. High pressure will
build in Thursday and then weaken on Friday as a cold front
slowly approaches from the west.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-181245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
334 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           20           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           63           46           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  4        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  4        SW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             1700         54/1000      1700         54/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        95           59           95           50
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2740                      1920
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      W  7
Ventilation rate                   24660                     13440
ADI early             1 Very poor  5 Very poor  3 Very poor  12 poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            7            7
Max LVORI late        7            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Colder. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-181245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
334 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           64           45           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  3        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  4        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1700         53/1000      1700         53/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        94           56           97           47
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2900                      1880
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      W  8
Ventilation rate                   26100                     15040
ADI early             4 Very poor  5 Very poor  4 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            7            7            8
Max LVORI late        7            3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Colder. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-181245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
334 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           65           49           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             1700         56/1000      1700         56/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           68           95           54
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            2            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2050                      1840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     W  9
Ventilation rate                   14350                     16560
ADI early             1 Very poor  3 Very poor  5 Very poor  6 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  10 poor      4 Very poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            8            6            6
Max LVORI late        8            4            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-059-181245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
334 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           30           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           65           48           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  4        SW  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             1700         55/1000      1700         55/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           64           96           46
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            3            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2840                      2020
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W  8
Ventilation rate                   28400                     16160
ADI early             2 Very poor  4 Very poor  5 Very poor  6 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  26 Fair      4 Very poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            9            6            7
Max LVORI late        8            3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-181245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
334 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           65           46           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  4        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  3        SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             1700         53/1000      1700         52/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        90           56           94           45
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2830                      1790
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W  7
Ventilation rate                   28300                     12530
ADI early             4 Very poor  8 poor       8 poor       5 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  27 Fair      3 Very poor  13 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            6            6            6
Max LVORI late        6            3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Colder. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8



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