Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 270812
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
412 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING.
COLD HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD
INTO THE CAROLINAS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MOVING OFFSHORE MONDAY.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN WILL
BECOME UNFAVORABLE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT: TYPE 1-D. MAXIMUM WIND
NE 26 MPH AT 1800 FT AGL.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-280015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
412 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           38           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        N  7         NW 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  7         NW  8        NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       7            2
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        68           97           33
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2160                      6610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NW 20
VENTILATION RATE      36720                     132200
ADI EARLY             18 GEN POOR  37 FAIR      50 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              34 FAIR      17 GEN POOR  67 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            1

REMARKS...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN NOON AND
2 PM...ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO NORTH WINDS AND A RAPID FALL
IN TEMPERATURE. AN UNFAVORABLE WIND PROFILE WILL DEVELOP AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM
RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-280015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
412 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           60           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          65           38           54
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  5         N  7         NW 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 12 G22     NW  6        NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       7            1
INVERSION             62/0900      2200         39/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%)        71           97           32
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2590                      6510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      NW 18
VENTILATION RATE      54390                     117180
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      44 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              47 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            6            1

REMARKS...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 9 AM AND
NOON...ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO NORTH WINDS AND A RAPID FALL
IN TEMPERATURE. AN UNFAVORABLE WIND PROFILE WILL DEVELOP AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-280015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
412 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           50           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           39           56
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  5        N  8         NW 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  8 G21    NW  7        NW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       6            1
INVERSION             NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX RH (%)        72           96           34
DSI                   1                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2150                      6630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NW 18
VENTILATION RATE      36550                     119340
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      36 FAIR      47 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              32 FAIR      12 POOR      65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            1

REMARKS...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN NOON AND
3 PM...ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO NORTH WINDS AND A RAPID FALL
IN TEMPERATURE. AN UNFAVORABLE WIND PROFILE WILL DEVELOP AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-280015-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
412 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          66           39           57
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        N  7         NW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 11 G21     NW  6        NW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             60/1000      2200         40/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%)        75           94           32
DSI                   1                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2820                      6670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      NW 17
VENTILATION RATE      56400                     113390
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      43 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              44 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            1

REMARKS...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 9 AM AND
NOON...ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO NORTH WINDS AND A RAPID FALL
IN TEMPERATURE. AN UNFAVORABLE WIND PROFILE WILL DEVELOP AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM
RH 80 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-280015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
412 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        90           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          63           37           55
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  6         N  6         NW 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N 11 G21     NW  7        NW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             59/0800      2200         39/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%)        75           90           31
DSI                   1                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3030                      6650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 21                     NW 16
VENTILATION RATE      63630                     106400
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      38 FAIR      42 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  14 GEN POOR  74 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            5            1

REMARKS...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 8 AM AND
10 AM...ACCOMPANIED BY A SHIFT TO NORTH WINDS AND A RAPID FALL
IN TEMPERATURE. AN UNFAVORABLE WIND PROFILE WILL DEVELOP AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM
RH 80 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA


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