Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 231045
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
545 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...A nearby stalled frontal boundary will allow for
several rounds of rain showers tonight through Saturday.
A passing cold front will then take aim at the region Saturday night
into Sunday, bringing additional moderate to heavy rainfall.
Drier weather will occur for Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures
will continue to average well above normal through the period.

KYZ044-050>052-232200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, and Morehead
545 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then a slight chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......25 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then increasing to around 30 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....99.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (99200 knot-ft).
ADI.................30 increasing to 84 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 - 0.23 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................16 decreasing to 5 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.22 - 0.40 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....39.
Vent Rate...........Fair (39200 knot-ft).
ADI.................17 increasing to 40 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.41 - 0.67 inches.

$$

KYZ058>060-104-106-108-111-232200-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-Wolfe-Lee-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Campton, and Beattyville
545 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....84.
Vent Rate...........Good (84200 knot-ft).
ADI.................33 increasing to 71 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................13 decreasing to 3 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.17 - 0.28 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers in the morning, then rain
                    showers likely and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 5 mph increasing to south
                    around 15 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then increasing to southwest around
                    25 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....67.
Vent Rate...........Good (67000 knot-ft).
ADI.................18 increasing to 60 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.29 - 0.51 inches.

$$

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>088-107-109-110-112>120-232200-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-
Bell-Harlan-Johnson-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-
Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City,
Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville,
Cumberland, Harlan, Paintsville, Salyersville, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
545 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....83.
Vent Rate...........Good (82800 knot-ft).
ADI.................41 increasing to 69 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the evening, then a chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.30 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning,
                    then a chance of rain showers and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....77.
Vent Rate...........Good (76700 knot-ft).
ADI.................27 increasing to 66 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.21 - 0.42 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers in the evening, then
showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers
in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers
in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning, then
a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper
50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
around 5 mph in the evening.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then a
chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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