Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 211933
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
333 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH
IS OVER LAKE EIRE. A SURFACE FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA. IT HAS NOT AMOUNTED TO MUCH MORE THAN A WIND SHIFT AND CLOUDS.
THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN OHIO
AND THEN WEST VIRGINA. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE UPPER LOW WILL BE
OVER CENTRAL VIRGINIA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR VARIABLE CLOUDINESS AND
GENERALLY COOL AND DAMP WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-221245-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
333 PM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (46600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER RIDGES NO CHANGE VALLEYS.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JJ





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