Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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000
FNUS53 KLMK 160822
FWFLMK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
322 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...GIVING WAY
TO UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH A WEAK COLD
FRONT. AFTER A DRY DAY ON WEDNESDAY...DAILY RAIN CHANCES AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

INZ076-083-084-089-162115-
ORANGE-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY
322 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017 /222 AM CST MON JAN 16 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      60 (+21)     54 (+16)     59
RH % (24H TREND)      72 (-19)     89 (-11)     70
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   SW  8
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      S  5         W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.41         0.06
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2587                      4309
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     33631                     110639
DISPERSION            MARGINAL                  EXCELLENT
DSI                   STBL         STBL         STBL
LAL                   2            3            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      14 GEN POOR  56 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              11 POOR      17 GEN POOR  66 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            4

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-162115-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...HODGENVILLE...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
322 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017 /222 AM CST MON JAN 16 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      65 (+21)     57 (+15)     64
RH % (24H TREND)      62 (-32)     93 (-7)      67
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G19
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  5         S  6         SW  9 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.50         0.09
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4344                      4234
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     71604                     103828
DISPERSION            GOOD                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   STBL         STBL         STBL
LAL                   2            3            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       14 GEN POOR  37 FAIR
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      21 FAIR      60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-162115-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FLOYD-CLARK-MEADE-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...BRANDENBURG...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN
322 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+19)     53 (+15)     62
RH % (24H TREND)      70 (-20)     90 (-9)      67
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      SE  5        W  9 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.45         0.08
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2986                      4664
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     38818                     141348
DISPERSION            FAIR                      EXCELLENT
DSI                   STBL         STBL         STBL
LAL                   2            3            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       8 POOR       69 GOOD
ADI LATE              12 POOR      19 GEN POOR  79 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-162115-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER
322 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      60 (+19)     53 (+14)     63
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (-21)     93 (-7)      71
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G23
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.44         0.12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4440                      2978
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     60606                     64211
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   STBL         STBL         STBL
LAL                   2            3            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       6 VERY POOR  44 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  19 GEN POOR  50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            4
MAX LVORI LATE        5            4            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-162115-
MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-MONROE-
METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...
RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
322 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017 /222 AM CST MON JAN 16 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      65 (+19)     55 (+12)     64
RH % (24H TREND)      61 (-34)     96 (-4)      74
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G22
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.37         0.18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6095                      2812
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     95082                     76067
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 GOOD
DSI                   STBL         STBL         STBL
LAL                   2            3            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  10 POOR      54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              47 GEN GOOD  17 GEN POOR  57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            4            4

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

RAS



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